Gold has activated a dual technical buy signal following the alignment of two independent internal models:
- the price thrust model
- the momentum pullback model
This combination marks a shift in gold’s tactical outlook from neutral to bullish and indicates that a new upside phase is developing within the broader structural trend.
Summary of Signal timing
The current alignment reflects a clear sequence:
- Momentum Pullback Model (MoPB): trigger at the end of 6 January 2025 week.
- Price Thrust Model (PTh): trigger at the end of 3 February 2025 week.
The sequential nature is important: first a controlled reset, then a confirmed thrust.
1. Momentum Pullback Model: reset within trend
The momentum pullback model triggered at the end of the 6 January week following a controlled contraction in momentum that successfully held trend support.
The chart highlights:
- a clean pullback into structural support
- stabilisation along the rising trend band
- momentum re-acceleration confirming the trend remains intact
2. Price Thrust Model: Breakout Confirmation
The price thrust model fired at the end of the 3 February week after gold produced a meaningful expansion in upward price movement and followed through above the short-term trend structure.
The chart highlights:
- expansion in price range
- a close above the trend cluster
- confirmation that the breakout carried strength rather than reverting
The move signals renewed directional intent and identifies the beginning of an upside phase, not a temporary rebound.
Interpretation
Momentum refreshed without breaking, improving the tactical setup before the subsequent thrust. The constructive aspect of these signals comes from their alignment whereby first, momentum resets and stabilises then, price follows with a decisive thrust. This pairing indicates that gold’s internal conditions have moved from consolidation into renewed strength.
Market Character
The strengthening does not rely on external narratives. It reflects internal market behaviour of a stable structural trend. A successful retest of support, improving momentum and finally a confirmed upward thrust. Gold now sits in an early-phase upswing with improving internal participation.
Summary
Gold’s internal configuration has strengthened meaningfully, with the momentum pullback model triggering first at the end of the 6 January week and the price thrust model following at the end of the 3 February week.
The sequence marks the transition from consolidation to a renewed upside phase.
The framework therefore issues a formal gold buy alert.